a RCM and Oil Analysis
a by Drew Troyer
a      Reliability-Centered Maintenance and its Meaning to the Oil Analysis Professional 
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     Reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) continues to show up prominently in technical literature as the future strategic direction in machinery maintenance. It should be. RCM is the right thing to do when it comes to optimizing the operational reliability of plant equipment. It is important for lubrication engineers, oil analysts and other tribology professionals to understand RCM and how oil analysis and lubrication management fit into the RCM picture.
     RCM is the systematic process with which to optimize reliability and associated maintenance tactics with respect to operational requirements. Economic optimization of machine reliability relative to organizational goals is the primary objective of the RCM process. Simply stated, RCM helps us ensure that if we spend a dollar on improving reliability, we are getting the full dollar back, plus some acceptable return on the investment.
     As Figure 1 illustrates, the law of diminishing marginal returns applies to the implementation of reliability improvement measures. Generally speaking, the first dollar invested in reliability improvement tends to yield a higher return-on-investment than any dollar subsequently invested. The objective is to reach the point of optimization at which the benefits of reliability, expressed as total operating costs, are maximized through cost reduction. RCM is a set of systematic engineering procedures for achieving and maintaining that objective.
     RCM's roots trace back to the 1960s when it was advanced to improve the safety and reliability of commercial aircraft. Since then, it has begun to move into the industrial sector as a result of work conducted by several authors, most notably John Moubray (RCM II) and NASA's publication "Reliability-Centered Maintenance Guide for Facilities and Collateral Equipment". Going further back, however, RCM owes its origins to the development of the reliability engineering discipline. It was there that the fundamental analytical tools were created to estimate the reliability of electrical and mechanical components and systems. Simply stated, RCM is a component of the quality movement that is focused on improving the safety, reliability and productivity of the equipment upon which our society depends for transportation, power and energy, and goods and services.
Why RCM and Why Now?
     In North America, we simply are not building new factories. In an economy where prices are set globally, we must profitably produce products (polypropylene to Plymouth Vipers) with aging equipment operated and maintained by a workforce that is among the most expensive in the world. This means that manufacturing assets must deliver big. And, so too must the maintenance strategies, like RCM, to maximize profitability.
Figure 1
     RCM guides the reliability investment with improvement measures and techniques including lubrication management and analysis such that the economic optimization is realized. NASA has identified specific guiding principles of RCM (see sidebar). But, essentially, the reliability engineer is tasked to answer the following questions:
  • What is the system or equipment asked to do?
  • What functional failures are likely to occur?
  • What are likely consequences of these functional failures?
  • What can be done to prevent these functional failures?
     In the past, we attempted to achieve reliability with frequent rebuilds. The strategy was founded on the assumption that the failure rate of machines increased as the asset aged. While some items fail in this manner, most complex systems, e.g., those found in process and manufacturing plants, do not. In one study; 30 identical deep groove ball bearings were run to failure on a test stand under highly controlled conditions. The variation in failure times was so great that if one statistically estimated the appropriate replacement time at the 95% confidence level the machine would never be started! In the field, the variation in time-to-failure is even greater. Thus, we have learned that the time at which complex equipment should be rebuilt can not, in many cases, be effectively estimated.
NASA's Guiding Principles of RCM
RCM is Function Oriented - It seeks to preserve system function, not just operability for operability's sake.

  ? RCM is System Focused - It is more concerned with systems than components.

  ? RCM is Reliability-Centered - It treats failure statistics in an actuarial manner. It seeks to define the probability that a system can perform its intended function for a specified operating interval under stated conditions.

  ? RCM Acknowledges Design Limitations - It seeks to maintain inherent reliability with the understanding that changes in inherent reliability is the province of design rather than maintenance. It also recognizes that input from the maintenance organization is critical to continuous improvement of system design.

  ? RCM is Driven by Safety and Economics -Safety (human and environment) must be ensured at any cost. Thereafter, cost-effectiveness is the evaluative criteria.

  ? RCM Defines Failure as Any Unsatisfactory Condition - Therefore, a failure can be defined as loss of function (operation ceases or falls below minimum capacity requirements), or a loss of acceptable quality (operation continues).

  ? RCM Uses a Logic Tree to Screen Maintenance Tasks - This provides a consistent approach to maintenance of all kinds of equipment.

  ? RCM Tasks Must Be Effective - The techniques must be technically sound and cost effective.

  ? RCM Tasks Must Be Applicable - The tasks must reduce the number of and/or the impact of failures.

  ? RCM Acknowledges Four Types of

Run-to Failure
Time-Directed Maintenance
Condition-Based Maintenance
Failure-Finding/Proactive Maintenance


  ? RCM is a Living System - It maintains a feedback loop with which to facilitate continuous

     More recently, we have employed vibration analysis, lubrication analysis, thermography, and other condition monitoring and predictive maintenance tools in an attempt to identify early stage failures so corrective action can be scheduled "on-condition". We have also applied proactive measures to monitor and control the root causes of degradation and failure such as lubricant contamination, wrong/degraded lubricant, misalignment, unbalance, etc. These measures that employ advanced maintenance techniques and technologies have proven very effective, but if over-applied, they can be expensive and counterproductive. Moreover, in some cases they simply don't provide the required improvement in reliability to get the job done. In these instances, system redesign or the employment of redundancy is required to achieve the goals of the organization.
Figure 2 - RCM Flow Diagram
     The process by which a reliability strategy is selected according to RCM is very systematic and logical (see Figure 2). As the flow diagram suggests, assets are audited with respect to their role in over-all system reliability and productivity. If acceptable, no changes are required. If unacceptable, then questions about the criticality of the asset define the need to identify the most efficient means of attaining the necessary reliability. If the asset is deemed non-critical, for example, it is simply run to failure then rebuilt or replaced. For mission critical systems, advanced maintenance techniques are typically the first choice because their use is relatively inexpensive compared to redesign and the employment of redundancy.
     In some cases, redesign or employment of redundancies is required to meet the objectives of the organization. Redesign in the form of proactive measures to control (and monitor) lubricant contamination, alignment, balance, etc. is usually much less expensive than to deploy than failure detection strategies. Conversely, more involved system redesign is usually very expensive and often produces unpredictable results. The employment of redundant systems is the most expensive method to improve reliability, but it provides very sure results. Employment of RCM helps to avoid the casual application of the latest "panacea" strategy, avoiding mistakes that waste resources and provide mediocre and unpredictable performance.
     Table 1 summarizes strategies for achieving reliability and the conditions under which they are selected in the RCM process. In today's competitive environment, organizations are looking to advanced maintenance strategies, especially condition-based maintenance, to provide the necessary reliability at minimum cost. The cost to rebuild or replace is quite high and yields dubious value. Purchasing and maintaining redundant systems is reserved for only the most critical systems where no other strategy provides satisfactory results.
Maintenance Strategy
Action Required
RCM-Based Application
Run to failure (reactive) Repair or replace upon failure Non-critical. Costs to control or detect failure exceeds benefits.
Scheduled discard to restoration (preventive) Repair or replace on time or cycles Asset has a well documented MTBF and a small standard deviation
On-condition maintenance (predictive) Employ condition monitoring to detect early stage failures. Replacement or repair are scheduled on-condition. Asset fails randomly. Critical nature justifies early detection techniques.
Redesign and condition-control (proactive) Changes in hardware, loading or procedures. Condition monitoring detects the presence of root causes of failure. Objective is to reduce the failure rate for a given time period
Redundancy Deploy active shared-load or stand-by redundant systems Mission critical assets for which no other approach is acceptable
Table 1
     Advancing technology has brought condition-based maintenance to the forefront of the RCM movement. Lubrication management and oil analysis play an integral role in this movement.
Figure 3
     The reliability engineer employs a number of analytical tools to optimize reliability relative to mission goals. Some of the more common tools include:
  • Reliability Statistics - Reliability statistics differ from conventional experimental statistics. They provide the means with which to estimate the likelihood that a system will achieve its mission given a stated duration and operating conditions. It is important to become knowledgeable about the methods of reliability engineering in advance of undertaking an RCM project.
  • Reliability Block-Diagrams - Once sub-system reliability is determined, the system can be effectively modeled from the reliability perspective. Once modeled, the weak links usually become evident and can be addressed with reliability growth measures to eliminate the deficiencies. Figure 3 illustrates block-diagrammed examples of simple serial, parallel and combination systems.
  • Failure Modes Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) - FMECA is the inductive process of identifying Primary functional failures, their related failure modes or states, the effect of the failure modes on the operation of the system and the associated criticality of the failure mode as a function of impact and likelihood. This valuable analytical tool enables the removal or better management of failure modes through application of advanced maintenance techniques, redesign or redundancy.
  • Root Cause Failure Analysis (RCFA) - RCFA assesses a failure after the fact with the intent to determine its root cause for occurrence. Once the root cause is ascertained, the engineer can assess the risk of recurrence, the success with which the root cause might be controlled and the cost to control it. With this information, a decision can be made to deploy control measures or to let it go.
RCM and the Oil Analysis Professional.
     After careful analysis, reliability optimization in a process or batch manufacturing plant usually includes a heavy dose of proactive and predictive maintenance. Typically, lubrication management is a top candidate for improvement in the quest to bolster mechanical system reliability. As such, the lubrication engineer or oil analysis technician will need to provide some technical precision in the following areas:
  • Lubricant Specific FMECA
  • Deployment of Proactive Lubrication Management Measures
  • Effective Utilization of Predictive Oil Analysis Techniques
     Lubricant related failures are often lumped together somewhat casually under the term inadequate lubrication". The lubrication engineer knows that inadequate lubrication can refer to insufficient quantity of oil, wrong oil, degraded oil, contaminated oil, additive depletion, poor specification or many other conditions. He must support the RCM process with a more detailed lubrication-related FMECA that properly represents the equipment, the operation, the environment, etc. Figure 4 identifies several of the lubrication related failure modes and the general questions for which the lubrication engineer should supply a FMECA information. Many other machine specific failure modes are revealed effectively by oil and wear debris analysis. That information must be included with technical precision into the overall FMECA process.
Some Lubricant Related Failure Modes
Degradation Particle contamination / Moisture contamination
 Sudden volumetric loss / Low levels / Wrong lube
Fuel/chemical dilution / Coolant contamination / Additive depletion
Foaming / .Under/over greasing etc.
Lube Related Failure Mode
Possible Effects
Criticality
Possible Causes
Detection Mechanisms
P-F Interval
What is the nature of the failure? What might happen if it occurs? What is the importance and likelihood of occurrence? What root causes led to the failure? How can the failure be detected? How much warning is provided by detection mechanisms?
Figure 4
     Proactive lubrication management offers an inexpensive way to reduce the inherent failure rate of mechanical systems. When the failure rate is reduced, reliability increases for all mission duration periods. Often, lubrication management can eliminate the need for more drastic and expensive measures. The lubrication engineer or oil analysis technician should coordinate with the reliability engineer to understand which systems require reliability growth. The process should culminate in the form of a list of changes to upgrade lube specifications, staff education and development, improve contamination control improvements, improve delivery mechanisms, enhance testing and inspection practices. educate and train staff, etc.
     Oil analysis has proved to be a very effective method for scheduling on-condition oil changes. Perhaps more important is the effectiveness with which oil analysis can identify machine
failures and support the process of identifying the root cause of the failure. Just as blood carries clues about the health of the human body, oil carries important information about the health of machinery. In some cases, oil analysis provides the very earliest warning of trouble. In other cases, it provides confirming information. And, occasionally, it carries no information at all about a failure. just as the physician employs all the techniques and specialists available to detect and understand problems related to health, the machinery engineer must select the right mix of analysis techniques and technologies to make the very best decision.
     The warning time in advance of a functional failure that a monitoring technique provides is called the P-F interval. P refers to the time at which a potential failure is detected, and F refers to the time at which the actual failure occurs (see Figure 5). Simply stated: the longer the P-F interval, the more time one has to make a good decision and plan actions. As a rule, better decisions and more planning time minimize the financial impact of the event on the organization. Table 2 summarizes a general assessment of the effectiveness of the primary condition monitoring tools (lube analysis, vibration analysis and thermal analysis) with respect to the detection P-F interval and root cause failure analysis. It is always impor-tant to factor in application and environmental conditions in such generalizations before finalizing technology selection and deployment selection decisions.
Figure 5
     In conclusion, all reliability improving techniques including lubricant management and oil analysis, must harmonize and align with the organizational objective of optimized asset utilization and maximized profit. RCM is the heart and soul of this process. The lubrication engineer and oil analyst of the future will play a vital role in the RCM process and as a part of the reliability team achieving and maintaining optimized asset reliability.
Detection P-F Internal
(what's going to happen)
Root Cause Failure Analysis
(why did it happen?)
Lube Analysis
Vibe Analysis
Therm Analysis
Lube Analysis
Vibe Analysis
Therm Analysis
Root Causes Control
Lubricant contamination
excellent
poor
poor
excellent
poor
fair
Misalignment
fair
excellent
fair
fair
excellent
fair
Imbalance
fair
excellent
fair
poor
excellent
fair
Wrong lubricant
excellent
poor
poor
excellent
poor
poor
Degraded lubricant
excellent
poor
poor
excellent
poor
poor
High operating
fair
fair
excellent
fair
fair
excellent
Failure Detection
Wear
excellent
good
fair
excellent
fair
fair
Cavitation
good
poor
fair
fair
poor
fair
Gear tooth fracture
poor
excellent
poor
fair
fair
poor
Structural resonance
poor
excellent
poor
poor
excellent
poor
Fatigue
excellent
good
good
fair
fair
excellent
Table 2
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This article is reprinted courtesy of Noria corporation. It was written by Drew Troyer and originally appeared in the January/February 1999 issue of "Practicing Oil Analysis" magazine. for more information on Noria's products and services visit their website at www.noria.com.
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